Tropical Storm ETA Advisory mar, 03-11

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC MON NOV 02 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   6(14)   4(18)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   5(14)   3(17)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

GUANAJA        34  3   3( 6)   6(12)   4(16)   7(23)   3(26)   3(29)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  8  72(80)  10(90)   2(92)   1(93)   1(94)   X(94)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  1  50(51)  16(67)   2(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64  X  18(18)  24(42)   2(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)

BLUEFIELDS     34  2   2( 4)  13(17)   3(20)   3(23)   X(23)   1(24)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAN ANDRES     34  5  12(17)   8(25)   2(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)
SAN ANDRES     50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

LIMON          34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH